By Jack
Rothstein
Follow the Ram, Fall '05
Evergreen Solar (NASDAQ: ESLR)
Evergreen Solar (Nasdaq: ESLR) is the best
performing stock that I am involved in this year. It’s all about performance
isn’t it? Isn’t that what you are looking for? ESLR was and still is a choice I
made at the start of the year and I am delighted in its performance. The stock
is up over 90% thus far. The focus is always to achieve an absolute return. ESLR
provided a stunning return this year and is up over 180% in the last 52 weeks.
It is a play on energy. It is an alternative solution to the high cost of
natural gas, oil and electricity. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure
it out. It’s a play on the rising cost of fossil fuels.
The stock has performed well over the course of the last
year and is still in great shape technically. The chart really tells the story
doesn’t it? When you stare at its chart whether it be long term or short term
the price pattern expresses a stock that is clearly in a solid advance. That is
what investing is all about. The ability to recognize a rising pattern and
execute a trade to exploit the favorable odds to gain. The stock can be played
right now with a toe in the water. A toe in the water is a small position that
does nothing more then force you to watch it. Always pay attention never
neglecting even the smallest position. When the stock comes in if it does do
that then buy more adding to the position. The ideal price to aggressively go
after ESLR is in the 8 zone. Oil has to take a hit, a hard hit, and ESLR will
come in to that attractive zone.
Short term the stock is slightly negative. The price of oil
has come in and so has ESLR. It is off its peak made on 10/3 at $9.65. A drop
near $8 and it is compelling. It is at that price the risk is low and better to
manage. Take a look at the 50-day line if it is a swing you are looking for and
notice where that key inflection point is currently. It is at $7.71. The 10- day
line is $8.58. The stock trades below that line and that means it is short term
negative and that favors a short-term drop. The move south down near 8 is a
chance to buy it far closer to its intermediate term line of support. Long-term
players are looking at a stock that is currently extended.
The good news about ESLR is that it is in a secular bullish
environment that offers the likelihood of long-term gains. If you back test many
of the primary technical indicators that determine the efficacy of any stock
over the last year indications clearly tell that the best strategy to take
concerning involvement is buy and hold. That is the gist of it. The best course
of action to take regarding ESLR is to buy and hold it.
Place a toe in the water. Buy more coming in to $8. Buy it
aggressively above $9.70 on a close and put metal to petal if it should scale
10. There is no top in formation at this time. It is in a mature advance so it
pays to be cautious. Swing traders can use $7.69 to stop the loss. Short term
traders ought to wait for a close above $8.60 to get involved and long term
investors ought to place the stop at $6.49. ESLR has been one of the best
performing stocks over the last year and all indications are that the advance
will persist. ESLR is a winner. Get involved.
This Article is from the Fall 2005 Top 10 Special Report.
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