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  Growth Report: Profit from Chinese Telecom Growth

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By Ian Wyatt
Growth Report, Summer '07
Comtech Group (COGO)

Comtech Group (Nasdaq: COGO) has been reporting stellar growth as a provider of module design solutions for the booming electronic, telecom, and mobile phone industries in China. With an established presence in China and excellent technology and products, the company has developed a solid platform to grow its business opportunities in the largest electronic manufacturing market in the world.

We like the company’s diversified revenue stream and its focus on innovation in a market that is constantly evolving. Comtech operates in four distinct business segments:

-selling module components for mobile handsets

-telecom equipment

-digital consumer electronics

-providing business and engineering services

The company’s core business is the customization of electronic module designs for mobile telephones, telecom equipment and digital electronics to original equipment manufacturers (OEM). Comtech works closely with over 30 suppliers to customize technology components to meet the specialized individual needs of its 200 plus customers. The company also generates recurring revenue from engineering services, an area that is demonstrating strong growth and high margins. After acquiring a 51% stake in Huameng Engineering in 2006, Comtech established a new subsidiary in Malaysia called COGO Engineering Services Malaysia, in which Comtech is the controlling shareholder. The new venture will focus on expanding its engineering services business to outside of the core China market.

But what makes us excited regarding Comtech is the expected strong growth of 3G mobile technologies in China. The Chinese government is expected to approve 3G licenses in the near future and Comtech is already preparing for this after winning a 3G phone design for a Vodaphone project.

Comtech saw strong demand for its products and significant growth in 2006. For 2006, revenue was $169.6 million, an increase of 58% from $107.4 million the previous year. Net income was $15.8 million, or $0.47 per diluted share, an increase of 46% from $10.8 million, or $0.38, in 2005.

For the first quarter 2007, revenue grew 32% to a record $44.6 million from $33.9 million in the year-ago quarter. The company posted a net income figure of $3.7 million, or $0.11 per diluted share, up 13% from $3.3 million, or $0.10 per share, in the prior-year period.

Chairman, President and CEO Mr. Jeffrey Kang, commented, “Our business experienced robust growth in all our targeted end markets over the first quarter, including telecommunication equipment, mobile handset and, in particular, digital media, which posted a yearon- year increase of 82.1%. We have strengthened our commitment to developing our business in these markets, particularly in the digital media market, which we believe will continue to see high-speed growth as a result of the 2008 Beijing Olympics. We have obtained a series of new contracts in the first quarter, including the ZTE USD 10 million annual contract, which exemplify the visibility of our business in 2007.”

Guidance & Outlook

Management offered guidance after a strong first quarter of 2007, projecting revenue between $215 and $218 million, an increase from earlier guidance of $210 to $215 million, and non-GAAP EPS Diluted of $0.68, up a penny from earlier guidance of $0.67 provided in March 2007.

Analysts also expect Comtech to earn $0.69 per share on $216.2 million of revenue in 2007. In 2008, the Street expects Comtech to earn $0.87 per share on $262.3 million in revenue.

Comtech stands to reap great benefits from the growing telecom industry in China, specifically in the areas of mobile phones and 3G technologies. The company has a diversified module component customer base and does not show a large amount of dependence on one customer. With over 200 customers in its core business, Comtech does not have any significant revenue threats with regard to customer relationships.

Through Comtech, investors are gaining access to a company that has innovative products in a growing market, strong revenue, robust research and development, good partnerships, and long-term potential. Comtech has exceptional long-term growth potential for an investor seeking exposure to the Asian telecom market. We feel the company’s shares warrant a pricing multiple of 29X the current year estimate and 23X the forward year estimate, or $20.00.

This Article is from the Summer 2007 Top 10 Special Report. Get the latest stock recommendations from other top financial experts today!  Request your FREE copy of the newest report from NewsletterAdvisors.com.  Click here.